As the retail industry braces for renewed policy shifts under a potential second Trump administration, CFRA’s in-depth thematic report explores how tariffs, immigration changes, SNAP cuts, and tax policy could reshape the landscape for broadline retailers. While macro uncertainty weighs on guidance for 2025, key opportunities—including regulatory rollbacks, tax reform, and the closure of the de minimis loophole—offer a more nuanced outlook.

With proprietary analysis, sector-specific insights, and retailer-level implications, this report equips investors and corporate strategists with the foresight needed to navigate heightened policy risk—and identify names best positioned to outperform.

What You’ll Learn

• The top near-term risks to retail—including renewed tariffs and consumer sentiment headwinds.
• How longer-term policy shifts like immigration reform and SNAP changes may affect retail operations and customer bases.
• Company-by-company breakdown of tariff exposure and mitigation strategies across major U.S. retailers.
• Why BJ’s, Walmart, Costco, and Kroger are better positioned for policy shocks than Dollar Tree and Dollar General.
• What the removal of the de minimis loophole means for U.S. vs. Chinese discount players like Temu and Shein.
• CFRA’s stock-level views including valuation outlooks, margin dynamics, and strategic positioning for 2025 and beyond.

Gain institutional-grade insight into how Trump-era trade and fiscal policy could reshape the future of U.S. retail.